
Which business could be more profitable? Establish a juice factory, importing fruit or importing juice?
For answering this question, following informations and stats have to be considered:
The head of iranian manufacturer juice syndic said: "consumption per capita fruit in Iran is 5 times more than the whole world; on the contrary consumption per capita of juice is 1/5 of the world."
If we want to decide with just that information; it seems investing on fruit is much better, but that's not all. According to official statistics, consumption of juice was increasing in last 5 years and it seems this process will continue in the future so a gap would be done between production (even if we add the products of factories under construction) and consumption. This gap would be filled by importing; on the other hand consumption of fruit was increasing slowly and importing fruit was increasing and would be increasing very fast. So some of the domestically produced fruits remain in the market.
Now we can make a result: if you establish a juice factory you can achieve your material cheaper than something were assumed and you have got a big market that's not saturated, but if you want to import juice, you would be dealing with some rules that would be changing every day like import tariffs or even import bans.
How about fruit? In importing fruit you've got lots of competitors and a saturation market.
Now decision is with you, choose every thing that you think is the best.